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DTN Midday Grain Comments 07/31 10:48
Corn, Wheat Futures Lower at Midday Friday; Soybeans Mixed
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower at midday Friday; soybean futures are
narrowly mixed; wheat futures are 20 to 27 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower at midday Friday; soybean futures are
narrowly mixed; wheat futures are 20 to 27 cents lower. The U.S. stock market
is mixed at midday with the S&P 12 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index is 30
points higher. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is firmer
with crude up 2.05 and natural gas .03 cents lower. Livestock trade is firmer.
Precious metals are sharply lower with gold off 54.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower at midday with trade fading into nearby
support levels with mixed spread action as rains work through the center of the
Corn Belt and other fresh news remains limited. Ethanol margins should continue
to support strong production runs. Weather looks to warm a little for most into
August with this week's moisture providing a buffer. Basis will likely see
further pressure as we head toward fall. On the September chart, the 20-day
moving average at $4.47 has become resistance as we've slid with $4.40 the next
level of support, which we are testing at midday.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are narrowly mixed with light, two-sided trade at midday
with product weakness continuing as weather holds the short-term improvements
and we wait for further clarity on China trade into fall. Meal is 2.00 to 3.00
lower and oil is 100 to 110 points lower. Basis will likely ease as product
action drifts lower. Weather looks to show short-term improvement but warmer
conditions are expected into early August for many as rains likely slow for a
bit after Friday. The daily export wire saw 252,000 metric tons of new-crop
soybeans sold to unknown destination. On the September contract, chart
resistance is the 20-day moving average at $11.95 with support the Lower
Bollinger Band at $11.54.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 20 to 27 cents lower at midday with Thursday's gains being
erased as we ease back toward the early week levels after the spike failed to
hold Thursday. Spring wheat areas should see harvest expand out of the weekend
with winter wheat harvest just about wrapped up for the year. Matif wheat is
fading again as we continue to watch for Black Sea shipping developments with
premium exiting for now. On the KC September chart, support is the 20-day
moving average at $7.05 with the fresh high for the move at $7.77 as resistance.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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