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DTN Midday Grain Comments 12/19 10:52
Corn, Soybean Futures are Lower at Midday Friday; Wheat Mixed
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents lower at midday Friday; soybean futures are 3
to 4 cents lower; wheat futures are narrowly mixed.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents lower at midday Friday; soybean futures are 3
to 4 cents lower; wheat futures are narrowly mixed. The U.S. stock market is
firmer at midday with the S&P 55 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index is 20
points higher. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is firmer
with crude .35 higher and natural gas is .07 higher. Livestock trade has cattle
sharply higher and hogs mixed. Precious metals are sharply higher with gold up
14.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents lower in quiet midday trade with action
holding the midweek gains heading toward the weekend with little fresh news.
Ethanol margins have seen a bit of pressure with corn values firming and
unleaded staying at the lower end of the range. Basis will likely remain steady
to softer into the holiday weeks. On the March chart, support is the 20-day
moving average at $4.43 1/4, which we are testing at midday, with the Upper
Bollinger Band at $4.51 as resistance.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 3 to 4 cents lower at midday with trade drifting into
another set of fresh lows while oil fails again to find some footing in the
product complex. Meal is flat to 1.00 lower and oil is 40 to 50 points lower.
South American weather has some short-term dryness to the north and south but
overall remains good as we get deeper into the growing season. Basis will
likely remain soft into the end of the year. The daily export wire reported
sales of 134,000 metric tons to China, keeping the uptick in recent activity
going. On the January chart, resistance is the 20-day moving average at $11.06,
with support the $10.47 fresh low scored Friday morning.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are narrowly mixed at midday as we look to consolidate the
midweek rebound into the weekend with KC holding the premium to Chicago
reestablished midweek. Southern Hemisphere harvest will start heading to the
homestretch soon. Weather for the Plains looks warmer than normal through
December with more-normal precip forecasts in the extended outlook for many.
MATIF wheat is lightly higher to start the day. On the KC March chart,
resistance is the 20-day moving average at $5.21, with the support at the fresh
low at $5.03.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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